UCLA
Big Ten|2026 Preseason Preview
Bob Chesney brings Nico Iamaleava and James Madison core to transform UCLA
2026 Preseason OutlookThe biggest portal splash of the offseason belongs to UCLA, where new head coach Bob Chesney paired five-star SEC starter Nico Iamaleava with a collection of James Madison imports to completely transform the Bruins overnight. After a brutal 3-9 campaign, UCLA's JP+ rating sits at +0.1 (#61 nationally), driven by an offense that grades out 43rd (+1.9) but a defense that remains a liability at 75th (-1.0). The portal additions tell the story: 41 arrivals bringing 161.9 PPA led by receiver Landon Ellis (50.7 PPA from James Madison), running back Wayne Knight (48.8 PPA from James Madison), and receiver Leland Smith (36.1 PPA from San Jose State) replacing departed talent like receiver Kwazi Gilmer (24.4 PPA to Nebraska).
JP+ projects 7.1 wins for UCLA, suggesting significant improvement from last season's disaster while acknowledging structural uncertainty around offensive line replacements and defensive front attrition that creates moderate continuity risk across both units. The Bruins face a brutal Big Ten gauntlet with road trips to Oregon and Michigan plus USC at home, but easier matchups against San Diego State, Michigan State, and Nevada provide win-total padding. If Iamaleava translates his SEC experience and Chesney's James Madison transfers click immediately, UCLA could exceed expectations in Year 1. If the line play struggles and defensive pressure disappears, the Bruins remain stuck in the conference basement.
Projected Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | JP+ Line | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | −3.5 | 60% |
| 2 | −12.5 | 80% | |
| 3 | −11.8 | 79% | |
| 4 | @ | +0.1 | 51% |
| 5 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 6 | @ | +17.2 | 14% |
| 7 | −9.9 | 76% | |
| 8 | −12.7 | 81% | |
| 9 | −21.2 | 92% | |
| 10 | @ | +2.2 | 45% |
| 11 | −2.1 | 57% | |
| 12 | @ | +8.4 | 29% |
| 13 | +5.1 | 37% | |
| Proj. Wins | 6.9 | ||
JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated June 5, 2026