College Football Power Ratings

JP+ rates every FBS team using opponent-adjusted play-by-play efficiency — Success Rate and explosiveness, not points or wins. The ratings translate directly into projected game spreads. Teams where JP+ disagrees significantly with Vegas are the betting opportunities.

Updated each Sunday during the season. Preseason ratings are projections based on prior-year performance, recruiting, and portal activity. Conference futures use separate season-arc projections that weight returning production and talent trends more heavily.

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Power Ratings

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams

Opponent-adjusted efficiency ratings built from play-by-play Success Rate and explosiveness, not points or wins. Each team's offense and defense are rated independently so a great defense can mask a weak offense — and vice versa.

Scale: points vs FBS average — +20 is top-5 caliber, 0 is average, -20 is bottom-5. Rating gap between teams ≈ projected point spread.

Preseason Ratings — These are decomposed preseason projections, not in-season efficiency data. Each team's prior-year O/D/ST ratings are carried forward with independent mean reversion, then adjusted for coaching changes, coordinator turnover, recruiting talent, transfer portal activity, and returning production estimates. Ratings will sharpen significantly once play-by-play data begins in Week 1.

Rk	Team	Overallpts vs avg	Off (Rk)	Def (Rk)	ST (Rk)
1	Ohio State Off. +10.5·Def. +14.8·ST +0.3	+25.6	+10.5 (8)	+14.8 (3)	+0.3 (29)
2	Indiana Off. +13.1·Def. +10.0·ST +0.4	+23.5	+13.1 (2)	+10.0 (10)	+0.4 (18)
3	Notre Dame Off. +12.0·Def. +11.0·ST -0.6	+22.4	+12.0 (4)	+11.0 (6)	-0.6 (127)
4	Oregon Off. +11.2·Def. +10.7·ST -0.1	+21.8	+11.2 (6)	+10.7 (8)	-0.1 (84)
5	Texas Tech Off. +5.6·Def. +15.2·ST +0.5	+21.3	+5.6 (22)	+15.2 (2)	+0.5 (11)
6	Georgia Off. +8.4·Def. +10.9·ST +0.9	+20.2	+8.4 (12)	+10.9 (7)	+0.9 (4)
7	Miami Off. +8.2·Def. +11.3·ST +0.1	+19.6	+8.2 (14)	+11.3 (5)	+0.1 (43)
8	LSU Off. +2.8·Def. +16.6·ST +0.2	+19.6	+2.8 (35)	+16.6 (1)	+0.2 (36)
9	Ole Miss Off. +11.9·Def. +5.6·ST +1.2	+18.7	+11.9 (5)	+5.6 (20)	+1.2 (1)
10	Texas A&M Off. +8.6·Def. +9.6·ST -0.3	+17.9	+8.6 (10)	+9.6 (12)	-0.3 (116)
11	Texas Off. +6.9·Def. +10.7·ST -0.2	+17.4	+6.9 (17)	+10.7 (9)	-0.2 (108)
12	USC Off. +12.9·Def. +3.5·ST -0.1	+16.3	+12.9 (3)	+3.5 (31)	-0.1 (89)
13	Oklahoma Off. +3.6·Def. +12.0·ST +0.4	+16.0	+3.6 (30)	+12.0 (4)	+0.4 (17)
14	Alabama Off. +6.1·Def. +9.7·ST -0.1	+15.7	+6.1 (19)	+9.7 (11)	-0.1 (95)
15	Utah Off. +9.4·Def. +5.4·ST -0.3	+14.5	+9.4 (9)	+5.4 (23)	-0.3 (111)
16	Tennessee Off. +11.1·Def. +2.7·ST +0.6	+14.4	+11.1 (7)	+2.7 (34)	+0.6 (8)
17	Michigan Off. +8.3·Def. +5.5·ST -0.0	+13.8	+8.3 (13)	+5.5 (22)	-0.0 (67)
18	Washington Off. +8.5·Def. +5.8·ST -0.5	+13.8	+8.5 (11)	+5.8 (18)	-0.5 (124)
19	Vanderbilt Off. +13.8·Def. -1.1·ST +1.0	+13.7	+13.8 (1)	-1.1 (78)	+1.0 (3)
20	Iowa Off. +2.4·Def. +9.5·ST +0.4	+12.3	+2.4 (42)	+9.5 (13)	+0.4 (14)
21	Penn State Off. +5.5·Def. +4.8·ST +1.0	+11.3	+5.5 (23)	+4.8 (25)	+1.0 (2)
22	BYU Off. +5.5·Def. +5.4·ST +0.2	+11.1	+5.5 (24)	+5.4 (24)	+0.2 (33)
23	Missouri Off. +2.6·Def. +7.6·ST -0.0	+10.2	+2.6 (40)	+7.6 (14)	-0.0 (71)
24	Florida Off. +3.3·Def. +5.8·ST +0.5	+9.6	+3.3 (32)	+5.8 (19)	+0.5 (12)
25	Florida State Off. +7.2·Def. +2.1·ST -0.0	+9.3	+7.2 (15)	+2.1 (41)	-0.0 (65)
26	Auburn Off. +1.5·Def. +7.4·ST +0.2	+9.1	+1.5 (46)	+7.4 (16)	+0.2 (42)
27	South Carolina Off. +1.2·Def. +7.6·ST -0.0	+8.8	+1.2 (49)	+7.6 (15)	-0.0 (76)
28	SMU Off. +5.9·Def. +2.8·ST -0.2	+8.5	+5.9 (21)	+2.8 (33)	-0.2 (100)
29	Louisville Off. +4.1·Def. +4.0·ST +0.3	+8.4	+4.1 (27)	+4.0 (28)	+0.3 (25)
30	Illinois Off. +6.8·Def. -0.2·ST +0.1	+6.7	+6.8 (18)	-0.2 (69)	+0.1 (48)
31	Arizona Off. +0.8·Def. +5.8·ST -0.5	+6.1	+0.8 (51)	+5.8 (17)	-0.5 (122)
32	Navy Off. +4.0·Def. +1.7·ST +0.2	+5.9	+4.0 (28)	+1.7 (44)	+0.2 (35)
33	Clemson Off. +0.0·Def. +5.5·ST +0.2	+5.7	+0.0 (65)	+5.5 (21)	+0.2 (40)
34	Georgia Tech Off. +3.7·Def. +1.5·ST +0.3	+5.5	+3.7 (29)	+1.5 (46)	+0.3 (20)
35	Arizona State Off. +1.0·Def. +4.7·ST -0.6	+5.1	+1.0 (50)	+4.7 (26)	-0.6 (126)
36	Arkansas Off. +7.0·Def. -2.4·ST +0.1	+4.7	+7.0 (16)	-2.4 (95)	+0.1 (47)
37	Mississippi State Off. +4.3·Def. -0.4·ST +0.7	+4.6	+4.3 (26)	-0.4 (71)	+0.7 (6)
38	Wake Forest Off. -0.0·Def. +4.5·ST -0.1	+4.4	-0.0 (67)	+4.5 (27)	-0.1 (86)
39	Houston Off. +1.2·Def. +2.6·ST +0.4	+4.2	+1.2 (48)	+2.6 (35)	+0.4 (19)
40	Pitt Off. +0.5·Def. +3.6·ST -0.0	+4.1	+0.5 (55)	+3.6 (30)	-0.0 (75)
41	NC State Off. +2.8·Def. +1.3·ST -0.2	+3.9	+2.8 (36)	+1.3 (48)	-0.2 (103)
42	TCU Off. +1.2·Def. +2.5·ST -0.1	+3.6	+1.2 (47)	+2.5 (38)	-0.1 (82)
43	Virginia Tech Off. +3.3·Def. +0.3·ST +0.1	+3.7	+3.3 (33)	+0.3 (60)	+0.1 (52)
44	Virginia Off. -0.2·Def. +3.8·ST -0.0	+3.6	-0.2 (70)	+3.8 (29)	-0.0 (66)
45	Kansas State Off. +2.2·Def. +0.5·ST +0.4	+3.1	+2.2 (43)	+0.5 (56)	+0.4 (16)
46	Iowa State Off. +0.5·Def. +2.6·ST -0.1	+3.0	+0.5 (57)	+2.6 (37)	-0.1 (90)
47	Kentucky Off. +0.4·Def. +2.4·ST +0.1	+2.9	+0.4 (58)	+2.4 (40)	+0.1 (51)
48	Minnesota Off. +1.7·Def. +0.5·ST +0.3	+2.5	+1.7 (45)	+0.5 (55)	+0.3 (26)
49	James Madison Off. -0.3·Def. +2.5·ST +0.0	+2.2	-0.3 (71)	+2.5 (39)	+0.0 (55)
50	Cincinnati Off. +3.5·Def. -1.7·ST +0.2	+2.0	+3.5 (31)	-1.7 (84)	+0.2 (32)
51	Baylor Off. +2.8·Def. -1.7·ST +0.5	+1.6	+2.8 (37)	-1.7 (85)	+0.5 (9)
52	Kansas Off. +2.5·Def. -0.9·ST -0.0	+1.6	+2.5 (41)	-0.9 (74)	-0.0 (62)
53	Northwestern Off. +0.8·Def. +0.1·ST +0.6	+1.5	+0.8 (52)	+0.1 (66)	+0.6 (7)
54	San Diego State Off. -1.8·Def. +2.8·ST +0.3	+1.3	-1.8 (85)	+2.8 (32)	+0.3 (28)
55	South Florida Off. +0.7·Def. +0.8·ST -0.3	+1.2	+0.7 (53)	+0.8 (54)	-0.3 (115)
56	Duke Off. +6.1·Def. -5.4·ST +0.3	+1.0	+6.1 (20)	-5.4 (123)	+0.3 (22)
57	Memphis Off. +0.1·Def. +0.4·ST +0.5	+1.0	+0.1 (63)	+0.4 (57)	+0.5 (13)
58	Nebraska Off. +2.6·Def. -2.2·ST +0.3	+0.7	+2.6 (39)	-2.2 (90)	+0.3 (21)
59	Rutgers Off. +4.6·Def. -3.9·ST -0.0	+0.7	+4.6 (25)	-3.9 (113)	-0.0 (60)
60	North Carolina Off. -1.6·Def. +1.9·ST +0.3	+0.6	-1.6 (82)	+1.9 (42)	+0.3 (23)
61	Army Off. +0.4·Def. +0.2·ST +0.0	+0.6	+0.4 (59)	+0.2 (62)	+0.0 (57)
62	Maryland Off. -1.9·Def. +2.6·ST -0.1	+0.6	-1.9 (87)	+2.6 (36)	-0.1 (99)
63	Michigan State Off. +0.3·Def. +0.1·ST +0.0	+0.4	+0.3 (61)	+0.1 (64)	+0.0 (54)
64	Cal Off. +0.3·Def. +0.1·ST +0.0	+0.4	+0.3 (60)	+0.1 (65)	+0.0 (56)
65	Boise State Off. -1.4·Def. +1.8·ST -0.0	+0.4	-1.4 (80)	+1.8 (43)	-0.0 (69)
66	East Carolina Off. -0.8·Def. +1.1·ST -0.1	+0.2	-0.8 (77)	+1.1 (51)	-0.1 (83)
67	UTSA Off. +0.3·Def. +0.0·ST -0.4	-0.1	+0.3 (62)	+0.0 (67)	-0.4 (119)
68	Old Dominion Off. -0.8·Def. +1.5·ST -1.0	-0.3	-0.8 (76)	+1.5 (45)	-1.0 (134)
69	UNLV Off. +2.7·Def. -3.0·ST -0.1	-0.4	+2.7 (38)	-3.0 (105)	-0.1 (87)
70	West Virginia Off. -1.5·Def. +1.2·ST -0.0	-0.3	-1.5 (81)	+1.2 (50)	-0.0 (78)
71	Tulane Off. -0.8·Def. -0.9·ST +0.8	-0.9	-0.8 (75)	-0.9 (73)	+0.8 (5)
72	North Dakota State Off. +0.5·Def. -1.5·ST +0.0	-1.0	+0.5 (56)	-1.5 (82)	+0.0 (58)
73	Texas State Off. +2.9·Def. -4.1·ST +0.3	-0.9	+2.9 (34)	-4.1 (115)	+0.3 (27)
74	UCF Off. +0.0·Def. -1.1·ST -0.0	-1.1	+0.0 (64)	-1.1 (76)	-0.0 (68)
75	Purdue Off. +0.0·Def. -1.3·ST +0.1	-1.2	+0.0 (66)	-1.3 (79)	+0.1 (53)
76	Western Kentucky Off. -3.0·Def. +1.0·ST +0.3	-1.7	-3.0 (105)	+1.0 (52)	+0.3 (31)
77	UCLA Off. -0.6·Def. -1.4·ST +0.3	-1.7	-0.6 (74)	-1.4 (81)	+0.3 (30)
78	Wisconsin Off. -2.5·Def. +1.3·ST -0.6	-1.8	-2.5 (95)	+1.3 (49)	-0.6 (128)
79	Air Force Off. -0.1·Def. -1.8·ST -0.0	-1.9	-0.1 (69)	-1.8 (86)	-0.0 (63)
80	Fresno State Off. -2.5·Def. +0.4·ST +0.1	-2.0	-2.5 (94)	+0.4 (59)	+0.1 (44)
81	Colorado Off. -1.3·Def. -1.1·ST -0.1	-2.5	-1.3 (78)	-1.1 (77)	-0.1 (98)
82	Boston College Off. +0.6·Def. -3.7·ST +0.5	-2.6	+0.6 (54)	-3.7 (109)	+0.5 (10)
83	Toledo Off. -2.8·Def. +0.4·ST -0.3	-2.7	-2.8 (99)	+0.4 (58)	-0.3 (112)
84	New Mexico Off. -2.3·Def. -0.8·ST +0.4	-2.7	-2.3 (93)	-0.8 (72)	+0.4 (15)
85	Miami (OH) Off. -2.9·Def. -0.3·ST +0.2	-3.0	-2.9 (102)	-0.3 (70)	+0.2 (41)
86	Washington State Off. -3.5·Def. +0.2·ST +0.2	-3.1	-3.5 (109)	+0.2 (63)	+0.2 (38)
87	North Texas Off. +1.9·Def. -5.6·ST -0.0	-3.7	+1.9 (44)	-5.6 (124)	-0.0 (61)
88	Louisiana Tech Off. -4.0·Def. +0.3·ST -0.2	-3.9	-4.0 (111)	+0.3 (61)	-0.2 (101)
89	Temple Off. -0.0·Def. -3.9·ST -0.0	-3.9	-0.0 (68)	-3.9 (112)	-0.0 (74)
90	UConn Off. -0.3·Def. -3.8·ST +0.1	-4.0	-0.3 (72)	-3.8 (111)	+0.1 (50)
91	Utah State Off. -1.4·Def. -2.6·ST -0.3	-4.3	-1.4 (79)	-2.6 (99)	-0.3 (109)
92	Stanford Off. -4.2·Def. -0.1·ST -0.2	-4.5	-4.2 (112)	-0.1 (68)	-0.2 (107)
93	Troy Off. -3.2·Def. -1.0·ST -0.3	-4.5	-3.2 (107)	-1.0 (75)	-0.3 (113)
94	Western Michigan Off. -5.3·Def. +0.9·ST -0.2	-4.6	-5.3 (121)	+0.9 (53)	-0.2 (104)
95	Hawaii Off. -2.3·Def. -2.3·ST -0.0	-4.6	-2.3 (92)	-2.3 (94)	-0.0 (72)
96	Syracuse Off. -2.6·Def. -2.3·ST +0.1	-4.8	-2.6 (97)	-2.3 (93)	+0.1 (45)
97	Oklahoma State Off. -3.5·Def. -1.6·ST +0.2	-4.9	-3.5 (108)	-1.6 (83)	+0.2 (34)
98	Ohio Off. -1.6·Def. -2.5·ST -0.9	-5.0	-1.6 (83)	-2.5 (97)	-0.9 (133)
99	Jacksonville State Off. -2.1·Def. -3.2·ST -0.2	-5.5	-2.1 (91)	-3.2 (107)	-0.2 (105)
100	Appalachian State Off. -2.8·Def. -2.8·ST -0.0	-5.6	-2.8 (100)	-2.8 (104)	-0.0 (70)
101	Marshall Off. -3.7·Def. -2.2·ST +0.2	-5.7	-3.7 (110)	-2.2 (89)	+0.2 (37)
102	Kennesaw State Off. -2.1·Def. -3.5·ST -0.4	-6.0	-2.1 (88)	-3.5 (108)	-0.4 (118)
103	Arkansas State Off. -2.8·Def. -3.2·ST -0.0	-6.0	-2.8 (98)	-3.2 (106)	-0.0 (73)
104	Liberty Off. -1.9·Def. -4.5·ST -0.2	-6.6	-1.9 (86)	-4.5 (118)	-0.2 (106)
105	Tulsa Off. -4.3·Def. -2.5·ST +0.1	-6.7	-4.3 (115)	-2.5 (96)	+0.1 (46)
106	Buffalo Off. -4.9·Def. -2.2·ST +0.1	-7.0	-4.9 (118)	-2.2 (91)	+0.1 (49)
107	Central Michigan Off. -4.7·Def. -2.2·ST -0.1	-7.0	-4.7 (117)	-2.2 (92)	-0.1 (97)
108	FIU Off. -4.5·Def. -2.7·ST -0.1	-7.3	-4.5 (116)	-2.7 (103)	-0.1 (79)
109	Southern Miss Off. -4.2·Def. -2.6·ST -0.5	-7.3	-4.2 (113)	-2.6 (98)	-0.5 (121)
110	Wyoming Off. -7.6·Def. +1.4·ST -1.5	-7.7	-7.6 (132)	+1.4 (47)	-1.5 (136)
111	FAU Off. -2.8·Def. -4.8·ST -0.1	-7.7	-2.8 (101)	-4.8 (119)	-0.1 (80)
112	Georgia Southern Off. -0.6·Def. -7.1·ST -0.1	-7.8	-0.6 (73)	-7.1 (130)	-0.1 (88)
113	Colorado State Off. -3.0·Def. -4.4·ST -0.5	-7.9	-3.0 (104)	-4.4 (117)	-0.5 (120)
114	Bowling Green Off. -5.5·Def. -2.7·ST -0.0	-8.2	-5.5 (122)	-2.7 (101)	-0.0 (64)
115	San Jose State Off. -1.8·Def. -6.7·ST -0.1	-8.6	-1.8 (84)	-6.7 (127)	-0.1 (92)
116	South Alabama Off. -3.0·Def. -4.8·ST -0.7	-8.5	-3.0 (106)	-4.8 (120)	-0.7 (129)
117	Sacramento State Off. -5.0·Def. -4.0·ST +0.0	-9.0	-5.0 (119)	-4.0 (114)	+0.0 (59)
118	Nevada Off. -7.1·Def. -2.0·ST -0.1	-9.2	-7.1 (129)	-2.0 (87)	-0.1 (81)
119	Louisiana Off. -5.2·Def. -3.8·ST -0.1	-9.1	-5.2 (120)	-3.8 (110)	-0.1 (96)
120	Delaware Off. -3.0·Def. -6.0·ST -0.3	-9.3	-3.0 (103)	-6.0 (125)	-0.3 (110)
121	Missouri State Off. -2.1·Def. -6.6·ST -0.5	-9.2	-2.1 (90)	-6.6 (126)	-0.5 (123)
122	Oregon State Off. -5.6·Def. -2.7·ST -1.6	-9.9	-5.6 (123)	-2.7 (100)	-1.6 (137)
123	Rice Off. -7.4·Def. -2.7·ST +0.3	-9.8	-7.4 (131)	-2.7 (102)	+0.3 (24)
124	Middle Tennessee Off. -4.3·Def. -7.0·ST +0.2	-11.1	-4.3 (114)	-7.0 (129)	+0.2 (39)
125	Eastern Michigan Off. -2.6·Def. -8.4·ST -0.2	-11.2	-2.6 (96)	-8.4 (132)	-0.2 (102)
126	Coastal Carolina Off. -5.8·Def. -5.1·ST -0.4	-11.3	-5.8 (125)	-5.1 (121)	-0.4 (117)
127	UTEP Off. -9.3·Def. -1.4·ST -0.7	-11.4	-9.3 (133)	-1.4 (80)	-0.7 (130)
128	Northern Illinois Off. -7.3·Def. -4.3·ST -0.1	-11.7	-7.3 (130)	-4.3 (116)	-0.1 (94)
129	UAB Off. -2.1·Def. -8.9·ST -1.3	-12.3	-2.1 (89)	-8.9 (136)	-1.3 (135)
130	Akron Off. -6.9·Def. -5.4·ST -0.3	-12.6	-6.9 (127)	-5.4 (122)	-0.3 (114)
131	New Mexico State Off. -11.5·Def. -2.0·ST -0.0	-13.5	-11.5 (137)	-2.0 (88)	-0.0 (77)
132	ULM Off. -6.5·Def. -8.5·ST -0.1	-15.1	-6.5 (126)	-8.5 (133)	-0.1 (91)
133	Kent State Off. -6.9·Def. -7.6·ST -0.9	-15.4	-6.9 (128)	-7.6 (131)	-0.9 (132)
134	Georgia State Off. -5.6·Def. -8.7·ST -1.6	-15.9	-5.6 (124)	-8.7 (134)	-1.6 (138)
135	Ball State Off. -9.9·Def. -6.7·ST -0.9	-17.5	-9.9 (135)	-6.7 (128)	-0.9 (131)
136	Charlotte Off. -9.7·Def. -8.9·ST -0.1	-18.7	-9.7 (134)	-8.9 (135)	-0.1 (93)
137	Sam Houston Off. -10.4·Def. -9.1·ST -0.5	-20.0	-10.4 (136)	-9.1 (137)	-0.5 (125)
138	UMass Off. -13.2·Def. -12.0·ST -0.1	-25.3	-13.2 (138)	-12.0 (138)	-0.1 (85)

Decomposed Preseason Priors · 2026 · Preseason