JP+ One-Sheet

UCLA

Big Ten | 2026

Projected Wins

7.1

Team Thesis

Nico Iamaleava and Bob Chesney Try to Fast-Track a Turnaround in Westwood. UCLA's offseason is defined by one move: Nico Iamaleava, the five-star SEC transfer out of Tennessee, is now the face of the program under new head coach Bob Chesney.

Model Profile

#31

JP+ Rank

#38

Offense

#27

Defense

+9.4

Overall

+3.4

Offense

+4.2

Defense

Why JP+ Is Higher

6.5

Market

7.1

JP+

5.9

SP+

JP+ GAP: +0.6 WINS

Roster Snapshot

Roster stock#30

Rated coverage73%

Candidate members85

Rated players62

Season Path

Soft landing

Bowl path86%

4-2 start52%

Collapse risk4%

52% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 86%. Collapse risk 4% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk6: 53% to 13%.

Bull Case

9-3

If the offensive line gels quickly and the front seven survives its attrition, this profile supports a clear step forward from 3-9.

Bear Case

6-6

If the trenches lag behind the skill talent, UCLA could still hover right around that 6.5 number all season.

Big Ten Context

Team	JP+	Market	SP+
Indiana	9.8	10.5	10.0
Oregon	9.7	10.5	10.2
Ohio State	9.5	9.5	10.2
Penn State	8.8	9.5	9.0
Iowa	7.8	7.5	8.0
Michigan	7.1	8.5	7.4
UCLA	7.1	6.5	5.9
Nebraska	6.8	6.5	6.2