UCLA
Big Ten|2026 Preseason Preview
UCLA banks on Nico Iamaleava and James Madison transfers to transform 3-9 disaster
2026 Preseason OutlookThe biggest portal splash of the offseason belongs to UCLA, where new head coach Bob Chesney paired five-star SEC starter Nico Iamaleava with a wave of James Madison imports to completely transform the Bruins overnight. After a disastrous 3-9 campaign, UCLA's -1.8 JP+ rating (#77 nationally) reflects a team still climbing out of the hole, with the offense grading at -0.6 (#73) and defense at -1.4 (#82), though special teams provides a bright spot at +0.3 (#28). The portal math tells the revival story: 28 departures cost 39.5 PPA while 41 arrivals added 161.9 PPA, headlined by James Madison receiver Landon Ellis (50.7 PPA) and running back Wayne Knight (48.8 PPA), plus San Jose State wideout Leland Smith (36.1 PPA).
JP+ projects 5.4 wins for the Bruins, a dramatic improvement that hinges on whether Chesney's system can quickly integrate the new talent around Iamaleava's arm. The Big Ten schedule offers manageable home games against San Diego State, Wisconsin, and Nevada, but road trips to Oregon and Michigan plus a home date with USC will test how far this roster transformation can carry UCLA in year one. If the James Madison core meshes immediately with Iamaleava, the Bruins could surprise and push toward bowl eligibility. If not, the defensive limitations and offensive growing pains could keep them closer to last year's struggles.
Projected Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | JP+ Line | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | −4.8 | 61% |
| 2 | −12.7 | 76% | |
| 3 | −11.5 | 74% | |
| 4 | @ | −3.4 | 58% |
| 5 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 6 | @ | +16.4 | 20% |
| 7 | −7.9 | 67% | |
| 8 | −8.9 | 69% | |
| 9 | −23.6 | 89% | |
| 10 | @ | −2.5 | 56% |
| 11 | −7.8 | 67% | |
| 12 | @ | +12.3 | 26% |
| 13 | +1.3 | 48% | |
| Proj. Wins | 7.0 | ||
JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated April 9, 2026