Oregon

Oregon

Big Ten|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
+21.8
#4
Offense
+11.2
#6
Defense
+10.7
#8
Proj. Wins
9.2

Oregon enters 2026 with championship-or-bust expectations around returning QB Dante Moore

2026 Preseason Outlook

Championship or bust. That's the backdrop for Oregon's 2026 campaign, with quarterback Dante Moore returning as a potential top-five NFL Draft pick leading a loaded roster desperate to break through after consecutive College Football Playoff exits. The Ducks check in at No. 4 nationally with a +21.8 JP+ rating, powered by elite units on both sides of the ball — the offense grades at +11.2 (6th) while the defense sits at +10.7 (8th). New offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer and defensive coordinator Chris Hampton take over after internal promotions, inheriting a roster reshaped by the portal with 32 departures but key additions like quarterback Dylan Raiola from Nebraska and receiver Iverson Hooks from UAB offsetting the loss of tight end Kenyon Sadiq to the NFL Draft.

JP+ projects 9.3 wins for Oregon in their Big Ten slate, with road tests at Ohio State and USC plus a home date with Michigan representing the toughest challenges. The Ducks added 141.1 points of PPA through the portal while losing just 69.2, suggesting this roster has the talent to finally capitalize on Moore's arm and the defensive foundation that helped produce an 11-1 record in 2025. If Moore elevates his game to match the draft projections and the new coordinators maximize the talent influx, Oregon has the pieces for a title run. If the playoff demons resurface against elite competition, another early exit looms despite the upgraded roster.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
Boise StateBoise State
−26.891%
2
@Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
−18.684%
3
Portland StatePortland State
−55.099%
4
@USCUSC
−6.264%
5BYE WEEK
6
UCLAUCLA
−16.481%
7
NebraskaNebraska
−16.982%
8
@IllinoisIllinois
−15.280%
9
NorthwesternNorthwestern
−22.288%
10
@Ohio StateOhio State
+6.338%
11
MichiganMichigan
−7.266%
12
@Michigan StateMichigan State
−16.381%
13
WashingtonWashington
−16.081%
Proj. Wins9.2

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated April 9, 2026