JP+ One-Sheet
Oregon
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
9.6
Model Profile
#2
JP+ Rank
#6
Off Adj
#6
Def Adj
Overall
+23.4
Offense
+10.2
Defense
+10.6
Win Total Context
10.5
Market
9.6
JP+
10.2
SP+
Bowl Path100%
Fast Start41%
Collapse Risk14%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
41% to start 6-0 or better. Bowl path 100%. Collapse risk 14% (8 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.6 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk10: 92% to 35%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Michigan | 7.0 | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Nebraska | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Maryland | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 |