Ohio State

The pressure is immense in Columbus after Indiana stunned the Buckeyes for the Big Ten title last season, and Ohio State's response has been characteristically aggressive. The top-rated team nationally at +26.0 points brings back offensive superstars Julian Sayin at quarterback and Jeremiah Smith at receiver while importing an NFL Combine's worth of defensive talent headlined by Alabama transfer James Smith at defensive tackle. New offensive coordinator Arthur Smith takes over play-calling duties from Brian Hartline, inheriting an offense that grades eighth nationally at +9.7 points despite losing top receiver Carnell Tate to the NFL Draft and tight end Max Klare to the pros. The Buckeyes added receiver Devin McCuin from UTSA and Kyle Parker from LSU to help replace that production, while the defense that already ranks third at +13.6 points should be even more dominant with its portal haul.

JP+ projects 9.5 wins for Ohio State in a schedule featuring road trips to defending champion Indiana and Texas plus a home showdown with Oregon. The mixed continuity profile creates some uncertainty — offensive continuity sits low despite Sayin's return due to significant skill position turnover, while the defense faces moderate replacement risk even with its talent infusion. If the new pieces mesh quickly and Arthur Smith's system clicks immediately, this roster has the talent to reclaim the Big Ten and make a playoff run. If the transitions prove bumpy early, those road games against elite competition could derail championship aspirations before they gain momentum.