JP+ One-Sheet
Ohio State
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
9.6
Model Profile
#1
JP+ Rank
#9
Off Adj
#3
Def Adj
Overall
+25.5
Offense
+9.0
Defense
+13.9
Win Total Context
9.5
Market
9.6
JP+
10.2
SP+
Bowl Path100%
Fast Start82%
Collapse Risk4%
Path Shape
Early equity
82% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 100%. Collapse risk 4% (7 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.6 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk7: 94% to 53%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Michigan | 7.0 | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Nebraska | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Maryland | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 |