Ohio

The Bobcats enter 2026 searching for a new signal-caller after Parker Navarro's departure to the professional ranks, creating uncertainty at college football's most critical position. Ohio's -5.1 JP+ rating places them 98th nationally, with an offense grading at -1.6 points and a defense checking in at -2.5 points that will need to carry more weight early in the season. The transfer portal hit hard, with 16 departures costing 232.9 PPA while 18 arrivals added just 8.6 PPA — headlined by running back Victor Rosa from UConn. Key losses include receiver Chase Hendricks (66.1 PPA) to Cal and Rodney Harris II (20.0 PPA) to Oklahoma State, stripping away proven production from the passing game.

JP+ projects 6.6 wins for Ohio in a MAC that should provide opportunities for bowl eligibility despite the roster churn. The Bobcats face their toughest tests on the road against Nebraska, Miami (OH), and Sacramento State, while home games against Eastern Michigan, Ball State, and Stonehill offer chances to build momentum. Special teams rank a concerning 133rd nationally at -0.9 points, creating another area where margins could be razor-thin in conference play. If the quarterback competition produces a capable starter and the defense maintains last year's form, Ohio reaches seven wins and another bowl game. If not, the Bobcats slip below .500 in a rebuilding campaign.