JP+ One-Sheet
Ohio
Mid-American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.6
Model Profile
#111
JP+ Rank
#104
Off Adj
#106
Def Adj
Overall
-8.7
Offense
-3.3
Defense
-3.1
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.6
JP+
6.2
SP+
Bowl Path77%
Fast Start38%
Collapse Risk8%
Path Shape
Soft landing
38% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 77%. Collapse risk 8% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk13: 82% to 46%.
Mid-American Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 7.9 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.7 | 7.5 | 8.4 |
| Western Michigan | 6.9 | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| Ohio | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.2 |
| Eastern Michigan | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Buffalo | 6.4 | 5.5 | 6.7 |
| Central Michigan | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.9 |
| Bowling Green | 5.8 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Akron | 4.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Kent State | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Ball State | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Sacramento State | 3.6 | 5.5 | 3.9 |