Miami (OH)

Miami (OH)

Mid-American|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
-3.0
#85
Offense
-2.9
#102
Defense
-0.3
#70
Proj. Wins
7.3

Miami (OH) Must Replace Star Receiver Cole Weaver While Leaning on Defense

2026 Preseason Outlook

The RedHawks face a significant offensive challenge after losing their top playmaker, wide receiver Cole Weaver, who transferred to Syracuse after posting 25.2 PPA in 2025. Miami counters with Arizona transfer Devin Hyatt at receiver and Wisconsin's Cade Yacamelli in the backfield, though neither addition fully replaces Weaver's production. Quarterback Dequan Finn returns as the starter, providing stability in the pocket as the offense tries to rebound from a 101st-ranked unit that managed just -2.9 points per game below average. The defense remains the program's strength at 71st nationally, while special teams rank a solid 39th, giving Miami two reliable units to lean on in close MAC contests.

JP+ projects 7.9 wins for Miami in 2026, suggesting another bowl-eligible season despite the offensive personnel losses that dropped their preseason rating to -3.0 points and 85th nationally. The RedHawks face their toughest tests on the road against Pitt, Cincinnati, and Western Michigan, while home games against Akron and Holy Cross plus a trip to UMass offer opportunities to pad the win total. If Finn can develop chemistry with his new receivers quickly and the defense maintains its solid play, Miami could push toward nine wins in MAC play. If the offense struggles to replace Weaver's production, however, the RedHawks may find themselves in more low-scoring battles than they'd prefer.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
@PittPitt
+9.831%
2
HHoly Cross
−13.878%
3
@CincinnatiCincinnati
+7.835%
4
UConnUConn
−4.060%
5
Bowling GreenBowling Green
−9.971%
6
@UMassUMass
−17.883%
7
AkronAkron
−8.568%
8
@Central MichiganCentral Michigan
−2.656%
9BYE WEEK
10
BuffaloBuffalo
−8.268%
11
OhioOhio
−9.570%
12
@Kent StateKent State
−8.969%
13
@Western MichiganWestern Michigan
+2.446%
Proj. Wins7.3

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated April 9, 2026