Memphis

The Tigers enter 2026 with Charles Huff taking over a program built around continuity that no longer exists. Memphis grades out 49th nationally with a +2.4 rating, but that modest ranking masks significant structural uncertainty — quarterback Brendon Lewis returns as the nominal starter amid broader offensive instability, while the defense lost key coverage pieces like safety Cameron Miller to Kennesaw State. The portal brought 51 new faces to replace 47 departures, headlined by Southern Miss receiver Tychaun Chapman and Cincinnati running back Manny Covey, but key offensive weapons Jamari Hawkins and Sutton Smith both followed the transfer trail to Arkansas.

JP+ projects 6.8 wins for a team caught between its recent 8-4 success and the reality of roster reconstruction. The defense remains the foundation with a solid +1.1 rating (49th nationally), while the offense sits barely above water at +0.2 despite losing significant production at skill positions. Road trips to Navy, Boise State, and UNLV represent the season's toughest tests, with home games against UAB and UT Martin offering potential momentum builders. If Huff can stabilize the quarterback situation and the defensive secondary adjusts quickly to new personnel, Memphis could push toward eight wins again. If the continuity issues compound, this becomes a rebuilding year in the American Athletic Conference.