Marshall
Sun Belt|2026 Preseason Preview
Marshall banking on portal additions to offset offensive continuity concerns
2026 Preseason OutlookMarshall's offseason revolves around whether its transfer portal haul can compensate for significant offensive departures, particularly in the passing game where target-share continuity took a major hit. The Thundering Herd grades out 94th nationally in JP+'s preseason power ratings at -4.9 points, with an offense ranking 97th (-3.0) dragging down a more respectable 84th-ranked defense (-1.7). Running backs Justin Williams-Thomas (departed to UMass) and Michael Allen (to East Carolina) combined for over 20 points of production value, while the receiving corps lost key contributors. Quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson returns as the starter, now joined by transfer Khalil Wilkins from West Virginia, whose 11.7 production points added represents the program's most impactful portal acquisition.
JP+ projects 6.6 wins for Marshall in 2026, a modest improvement over last season's 5-7 record that hinges on whether new pieces can gel quickly in the Sun Belt. The defense maintains stable continuity and should keep games competitive, but the offense faces moderate risk given the target-share losses and need for new skill position players like receivers Chris Culliver (North Carolina) and Christian Hamilton (West Virginia) to produce immediately. If Del Rio-Wilson takes a step forward with improved surrounding talent, Marshall could push toward eight wins and bowl eligibility. If the offensive chemistry doesn't develop fast enough, another sub-.500 season looms despite the portal additions.
Projected Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | JP+ Line | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | +24.0 | 7% |
| 2 | −9.6 | 75% | |
| 3 | @ | +2.6 | 44% |
| 4 | GGardner-Webb | −11.1 | 78% |
| 5 | @ | +5.7 | 36% |
| 6 | −6.5 | 68% | |
| 7 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 8 | −4.3 | 63% | |
| 9 | @ | +6.0 | 35% |
| 10 | @ | +2.9 | 43% |
| 11 | −0.5 | 53% | |
| 12 | −11.1 | 78% | |
| 13 | @ | −7.4 | 70% |
| Proj. Wins | 6.4 | ||
JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated June 5, 2026