JP+ One-Sheet
Marshall
Sun Belt | 2026
Projected Wins
7.4
Model Profile
#93
JP+ Rank
#93
Off Adj
#84
Def Adj
Overall
-3.6
Offense
-2.5
Defense
-1.3
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.4
JP+
7.7
SP+
Bowl Path91%
Fast Start53%
Collapse Risk9%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
53% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 91%. Collapse risk 9% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk5: 85% to 38%.
Sun Belt Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Marshall | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Arkansas State | 7.3 | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| Louisiana | 6.8 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Appalachian State | 6.7 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Troy | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Old Dominion | 6.4 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Louisiana Tech | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| Georgia Southern | 6.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| South Alabama | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Southern Miss | 4.8 | 3.5 | 2.6 |