LSU

SEC|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
+19.0
#9
Offense
+0.3
#63
Defense
+14.4
#2
Proj. Wins
8.7

Lane Kiffin Arrives With a Mandate: Fix the Offense, Trust the Defense

2026 Preseason Outlook

Lane Kiffin didn't just take a job at LSU — he took a specific problem to solve. Last year's offense finished 122nd nationally in yards per completion, a number so glaring it demanded a portal response rather than a patch job. Kiffin delivered one, headlined by Arizona State transfer Sam Leavitt, whose 80.2 PPA arrival was the single biggest transfer swing on either side of the roster. Garrett Nussmeier is gone, and Leavitt inherits a receiving corps also under reconstruction after Aaron Anderson left for the draft and both Kyle Parker and Nic Anderson transferred out. Hawaii's Jackson Harris and Old Dominion's Tre' Brown III arrive to help replace that lost production. The defense, meanwhile, remains the identity of this program; it's the unit that carried LSU to 7-5 last year, and the qualitative profile still grades it as elite even as edge and front-seven attrition forces new names into pressure roles. Overall, this looks like a team built to be elite, anchored by a defense doing the heavy lifting while a retooled — no, rebuilt — offense tries to catch up.

JP+ projects 8.7 wins, a number that reflects both the offensive fixes assembled at scale — 40 arrivals bringing 287.8 PPA against 43 departures — and the uncertainty inherent in a first-year quarterback transition plus a defense replacing edge production. The schedule doesn't do LSU many favors, with road trips to Ole Miss and Tennessee bracketing a home date with Texas, but the floor is softened by manageable games against Mississippi State, Louisiana Tech, and McNeese. If Leavitt settles in quickly and the defensive front holds up despite the attrition, this group pushes toward the SEC and national title conversation Kiffin was hired to start. If Leavitt's transition to the new system lags or the pass rush thins out first, 8.7 wins could prove to be the ceiling, not the floor.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
ClemsonClemson
−10.577%
2
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
−29.696%
3
@Ole MissOle Miss
+0.649%
4
Texas A&MTexas A&M
−4.162%
5
McNeeseMcNeese
−56.399%
6
@KentuckyKentucky
−14.283%
7
Mississippi StateMississippi State
−17.588%
8
@AuburnAuburn
−5.666%
9BYE WEEK
10
AlabamaAlabama
−8.172%
11
TexasTexas
−3.059%
12
@TennesseeTennessee
−2.859%
13
@ArkansasArkansas
−11.178%
Proj. Wins8.7

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated July 22, 2026