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LSU

JP+ One-Sheet

LSU

SEC | 2026

Projected Wins

8.7

Model Profile

#9

JP+ Rank

#63

Off Adj

#2

Def Adj

Overall

+19.0

Offense

+0.3

Defense

+14.4

Win Total Context

8.5

Market

8.7

JP+

8.6

SP+

Bowl Path99%
Fast Start60%
Collapse Risk5%

Path Shape

Cliff risk

60% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 99%. Collapse risk 5% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 96% to 49%.

SEC Win Totals

TeamJP+MktSP+
Georgia9.39.59.8
LSU8.78.58.6
Texas A&M8.48.58.4
Texas8.09.58.6
Ole Miss7.88.57.2
Florida7.57.57.0
Oklahoma7.57.57.3
Tennessee7.47.57.6
Alabama7.48.58.1
Vanderbilt6.95.56.5
Missouri6.86.57.3
South Carolina6.66.56.6