Liberty

Liberty's offseason centered on replacing departed production through the transfer portal, losing 84.4 PPA across 19 departures while adding just 33.7 PPA from 26 arrivals. The Flames' defense remains the primary concern, grading out 118th nationally at -4.5 points per game, while the offense sits at a more respectable 85th despite losing running back Evan Dickens (38.0 PPA) to Boston College and receiver Donte Lee Jr. (22.9 PPA) to Texas Tech. Quarterback Ethan Vasko returns as the starter, with backup Michael Merdinger transferring to Minnesota, while new arrivals include running back Terron Kellman from Wyoming (15.3 PPA) and quarterback Deshawn Purdie from Wake Forest.

JP+ projects just 0.7 wins for Liberty in 2026, reflecting a program still searching for stability after a disappointing 4-8 campaign. The -6.7 overall rating ranks 104th nationally, with special teams adding another small negative at -0.2 points per game. Running backs Terron Kellman and Kam Davis from Florida State provide some hope for offensive improvement, but the defensive struggles that plagued the Flames last season appear likely to continue. If Vasko can develop chemistry with his new skill position players and the defense shows unexpected improvement, Liberty could surprise in Conference USA play, but more likely faces another rebuilding year as the portal additions acclimate to their new system.