JP+ One-Sheet
Liberty
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
8.1
Model Profile
#86
JP+ Rank
#79
Off Adj
#97
Def Adj
Overall
-2.7
Offense
-0.7
Defense
-2.2
Win Total Context
8.5
Market
8.1
JP+
8.4
SP+
Bowl Path97%
Fast Start42%
Collapse Risk11%
Path Shape
Soft landing
42% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 97%. Collapse risk 11% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk8: 92% to 51%.
Conference USA Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Delaware | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| New Mexico State | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Houston | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |