Kentucky
SEC|2026 Preseason Preview
Will Stein's transfer portal blitz reshapes Kentucky from the ground up
2026 Preseason OutlookWill Stein stepped in and cranked up the transfers, bringing in 29 new faces to replace 28 departures in what amounts to a complete roster transformation. The Wildcats lost starting quarterback Cutter Boley (57.9 PPA) to Arizona State and key receivers Cameron Miller and Hardley Gilmore IV to the portal, but countered by adding Notre Dame quarterback Kenny Minchey and receivers Xavier Daisy from UAB and Nic Anderson from LSU. Most notably, offensive tackle Lance Heard arrives from Tennessee to anchor a rebuilt offensive line. JP+ sees modest improvement with a +2.9 rating (#48 nationally), driven primarily by a defense that grades out 42nd (+2.4) while the offense remains below average at 57th (+0.4).
The projection system likes Kentucky for 4.8 wins, which suggests the rebuild is still a work in progress despite all the roster movement. The defense provides the foundation for any upside, but the offense faces major questions with a new signal-caller and rebuilt skill positions trying to mesh quickly in the brutal SEC. Road trips to Texas A&M and Oklahoma loom as potential season-definers, while home games against Louisville, South Alabama, and Youngstown State offer chances to build momentum. If Minchey and the new receivers click early and the revamped offensive line provides protection, Kentucky could surprise and push toward bowl eligibility. If the chemistry takes time to develop, another sub-.500 campaign beckons.
Projected Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | JP+ Line | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −33.0 | 95% | |
| 2 | +8.3 | 34% | |
| 3 | @ | +18.4 | 17% |
| 4 | −16.9 | 82% | |
| 5 | @ | +8.5 | 33% |
| 6 | +12.3 | 26% | |
| 7 | @ | +16.0 | 21% |
| 8 | +5.1 | 40% | |
| 9 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 10 | @ | +11.0 | 29% |
| 11 | +10.3 | 30% | |
| 12 | @ | +9.5 | 31% |
| 13 | −1.3 | 54% | |
| Proj. Wins | 5.0 | ||
JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated April 9, 2026