JP+ One-Sheet
Kentucky
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
4.4
Model Profile
#37
JP+ Rank
#60
Off Adj
#32
Def Adj
Overall
+5.7
Offense
+0.5
Defense
+3.4
Win Total Context
4.5
Market
4.4
JP+
4.3
SP+
Bowl Path16%
Fast Start53%
Collapse Risk10%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
53% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 16%. Collapse risk 10% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.1 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 98% to 28%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Mississippi State | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Arkansas | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Kentucky | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.3 |