Indiana

Indiana

Big Ten|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
+24.7
#2
Offense
+12.8
#1
Defense
+9.7
#10
Proj. Wins
9.7

Indiana enters 2026 as college football's new dynasty favorite after perfect championship run

2026 Preseason Outlook

The Hoosiers have transformed from Cinderella story to college football's new empire in just two years, morphing into what many are calling 'the new Alabama' after their stunning 16-0 national championship campaign. Indiana enters 2026 ranked second nationally with a +24.7 JP+ rating, powered by the nation's top offense (+12.8) and a tenth-ranked defense (+9.7). The roster construction remains methodical: 17 departures (234.9 PPA lost) balanced by 17 arrivals (238.7 PPA added), headlined by TCU transfer Josh Hoover (158.1 PPA) stepping in after Fernando Mendoza's departure to the NFL Draft. Wide receiver additions Shazz Preston from Tulane (41.7 PPA) and Nick Marsh from Michigan State (28.2 PPA) provide new targets for Hoover in an offensive system that lost significant continuity at quarterback, running back, and along the offensive line.

JP+ projects 9.9 wins for the defending champions, a number that reflects substantial structural uncertainty despite elite talent acquisition. The continuity concerns are real: quarterback transition, offensive line reconstruction, and edge pressure attrition on defense create above-normal replacement assumptions throughout the roster. Home dates with Ohio State and road trips to Washington and Michigan headline the Big Ten gauntlet that awaits a program now wearing the target it spent decades chasing. If Hoover adapts quickly and the portal additions mesh seamlessly, Indiana could repeat as champions with this elite talent base. If the continuity gaps prove too wide, even this loaded roster might struggle to maintain the standard of perfection that defined their breakthrough.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
North TexasNorth Texas
−38.299%
2
HowardHoward
−47.399%
3
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
−30.997%
4
NorthwesternNorthwestern
−21.492%
5
@RutgersRutgers
−16.787%
6
@NebraskaNebraska
−15.785%
7
Ohio StateOhio State
+2.843%
8
@MichiganMichigan
−5.265%
9
MinnesotaMinnesota
−17.488%
10BYE WEEK
11
USCUSC
−8.573%
12
@WashingtonWashington
−5.566%
13
PurduePurdue
−25.495%
Proj. Wins9.7

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated June 5, 2026