JP+ One-Sheet
Indiana
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
9.8Team Thesis
Indiana Goes From Surprise to Hunted. Nobody sneaks up on Indiana anymore.
Model Profile
#3
JP+ Rank
#2
Offense
#12
Defense
Why JP+ Is Lower
10.5
Market
9.8
JP+
10.0
SP+
JP+ GAP: -0.7 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#49
Rated coverage77%
Candidate members64
Rated players49
Season Path
Front-loaded
Bowl path100%
6-0 start57%
Collapse risk11%
57% to start 6-0 or better. Bowl path 100%. Collapse risk 11% (8 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.0 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk7: 76% to 50%.
Bull Case
11-1If Hoover settles in quickly and the offensive line holds up in the trenches, Indiana's ceiling is another Big Ten title run.
Bear Case
8-4If the quarterback transition or the edge-rush attrition drags into November, 9.8 wins is closer to the floor than people are currently pricing…
Big Ten Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Oregon | 9.7 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.8 | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| Iowa | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Michigan | 7.1 | 8.5 | 7.4 |