Georgia State

The Panthers are dealing with catastrophic roster turnover after losing 39 players to the transfer portal, including quarterback TJ Finley who departed for Incarnate Word along with top receiver Javon Robinson (Utah State). Georgia State's JP+ rating of -15.8 points ranks 134th nationally, with all three phases struggling — the offense grades 124th at -5.6 points, the defense sits dead last at 134th (-8.7), and special teams rank 138th. The incoming portal class brought 32 new faces but added just 9.4 PPA compared to 54.6 lost, headlined by Clemson running back Keith Adams Jr. and Michigan offensive tackle Connor Jones.

JP+ projects just 0.6 wins for the Panthers in what appears to be a rebuilding campaign, with both UCF and Northern Illinois presenting significant challenges regardless of venue. The new signal-caller will inherit an offense that ranked among the nation's worst last season, while a defense that allowed opponents to move the ball at will must find answers with largely unfamiliar personnel. If the portal additions can provide immediate stability and the quarterback competition produces a capable starter, Georgia State might exceed rock-bottom expectations. If not, another long season awaits in Atlanta.