One-sheet mockup

Eastern Michigan

Mid-American|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
-12.2
#123
Offense
-2.3
#92
Defense
-8.7
#136
Proj. Wins
6.4

Eastern Michigan Leans on Noah Kim Again While the Rest of the Offense Gets Rebuilt

2026 Preseason Outlook

Noah Kim returns at quarterback, and that single fact carries this entire offense. The Eagles lost Terry Lockett, their leading receiver at 11.3 PPA, to the portal, along with running back James Jointer Jr., and they replaced that lost production with Braydon Bennett, a running back import from Virginia Tech whose own portal marks came in below replacement level. Twenty-six players departed compared to just ten arrivals, a churn rate that left the offensive line facing a real reset and the receiving corps needing to replace nearly its entire target share from a year ago. Kim's return share is total, which stabilizes the passing game's structure even as almost everything around him changes; the offense still projects as merely below average, the defense sits in the bottom tier despite lighter defensive turnover than the rest of the roster, and special teams are similarly bottom-tier. It adds up to a team that went 4-8 a year ago and still looks like it's fighting uphill.

JP+ pegs Eastern Michigan at 6.4 projected wins, a number that hinges heavily on how well that thin receiving corps and rebuilt line hold up around Kim. The schedule offers a path — road trips to Wisconsin and Michigan State are what they are, but Western Michigan on the road is the more relevant MAC measuring stick, while home dates with Sacramento State and Lindenwood plus a trip to UMass provide the clearest building blocks toward bowl eligibility. The defense's relative continuity is the quiet stabilizer here, since it wasn't the unit that got stripped down this offseason. If the offensive line gels quickly and even one or two new pass catchers step into real roles, 6.3 wins looks like a floor with bowl contention as the ceiling; if the reset lines and concentration risk at receiver linger into October, this group slides back toward last year's four-win form.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
Sacramento StateSacramento State
−15.986%
1
San Jose StateSan Jose State
−5.666%
2
@Michigan StateMichigan State
+13.819%
3
@WisconsinWisconsin
+18.912%
4
LLindenwood
−19.490%
5
@UMassUMass
−11.579%
6
@AkronAkron
−1.455%
7
ToledoToledo
+2.544%
8
@OhioOhio
+3.741%
9BYE WEEK
10
Central MichiganCentral MichiganNeutral
+0.151%
11BYE WEEK
12
@Western MichiganWestern Michigan
+8.429%
13
Kent StateKent State
−10.076%
Proj. Wins6.4

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated July 22, 2026