JP+ One-Sheet
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.2Team Thesis
Eastern Michigan Leans on Noah Kim Again While the Rest of the Offense Gets Rebuilt. Noah Kim returns at quarterback, and that single fact carries this entire offense.
Model Profile
#126
JP+ Rank
#94
Offense
#136
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
5.5
Market
6.2
JP+
5.9
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Early equity
86% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 70%. Collapse risk 3% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.7 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 65% to 16%.
Bull Case
8-4If the offensive line gels quickly and even one or two new pass catchers step into real roles, 6.2 wins looks like a floor with bowl contention…
Bear Case
5-7If the offensive line gels quickly and even one or two new pass catchers step into real roles, 6.2 wins looks like a floor with bowl contention…
Mid-American Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.4 |
| Western Michigan | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.4 |
| Ohio | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Buffalo | 6.3 | -- | 7.0 |
| Eastern Michigan | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Central Michigan | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Bowling Green | 5.6 | 4.5 | 5.3 |