BYU

BYU

Big 12|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
+10.5
#21
Offense
+4.9
#22
Defense
+4.8
#23
Proj. Wins
8.1

BYU seeks respect after being overlooked despite 11-2 season

2026 Preseason Outlook

BYU enters 2026 with a chip on its shoulder after an 11-2 campaign that earned little national recognition, despite losing only to Texas Tech. This veteran group believes it was disrespected last season and appears determined to seize what it feels it deserves. The Cougars check in at 21st nationally with a +10.5 JP+ rating, powered by balanced units on both sides of the ball — offense ranks 22nd (+4.9) and defense 23rd (+4.8). Bear Bachmeier returns as the starting quarterback, while the roster gained significant talent through the portal, adding 23.8 PPA compared to 4.8 lost in departures. Walker Lyons arrives from USC as the headliner (18.3 PPA) at tight end, joined by Oregon transfers Kyler Kasper at receiver and Roger Saleapaga II at tight end. Kelly Poppinga takes over defensive coordinator duties after Jay Hill's departure.

JP+ projects 7.3 wins for BYU in a Big 12 schedule that features challenging road tests at Utah and Kansas, plus a home date with Notre Dame. The Cougars face mixed continuity concerns on offense with significant departures at skill positions, though Bachmeier's return provides stability under center and the defense retains most of its core contributors. Special teams grade out as the clear weakness at 32nd nationally, which could prove costly in close conference games. If the veteran leadership and portal additions mesh quickly, this team has the talent to challenge for double-digit wins again. If offensive chemistry struggles early, the Cougars could find themselves fighting just to reach bowl eligibility in a competitive Big 12.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
Utah TechUtah Tech
−43.999%
2
ArizonaArizona
−9.174%
3
@Colorado StateColorado State
−19.390%
4BYE WEEK
5
@TCUTCU
−6.167%
6
Iowa StateIowa State
−11.178%
7
Notre DameNotre Dame
+6.833%
8
@UCFUCF
−5.666%
9
Arizona StateArizona State
−7.069%
10
@UtahUtah
+3.043%
11
BaylorBaylor
−10.076%
12
@KansasKansas
−4.062%
13
CincinnatiCincinnati
−7.570%
Proj. Wins8.1

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated June 5, 2026