Air Force

Air Force enters 2026 seeking to bounce back from a disappointing 4-8 campaign that fell well short of expectations in the Mountain West. The Falcons' JP+ rating of -1.9 points ranks 79th nationally, with an offense that grades out slightly below average at -0.1 (#68) and a defense that struggled significantly at -1.8 (#87). The bright spot is continuity at quarterback, where Liam Szarka returns as the established starter after gaining valuable experience in 2025. The transfer portal was relatively quiet for the Falcons, with four departures costing no significant production and no major additions to bolster the roster.

JP+ projects 7.9 wins for Air Force, suggesting a substantial improvement over last season's record despite the modest overall ratings. The schedule presents clear opportunities for momentum-building victories, particularly at home against San Jose State, UTEP, and Duquesne, while road trips to Army and New Mexico plus a home date with Navy represent the season's biggest challenges. The defense must show dramatic improvement from its 87th-ranked performance to support what should be a more experienced offensive unit. If Szarka takes a significant step forward and the defense finds its footing early, the Falcons could compete for a bowl berth and respectability in the Mountain West. If defensive struggles persist, another long season awaits in Colorado Springs.