JP+ One-Sheet
Western Michigan
Mid-American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.9
Model Profile
#95
JP+ Rank
#116
Off Adj
#49
Def Adj
Overall
-4.4
Offense
-5.1
Defense
+1.2
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
6.9
JP+
6.9
SP+
Bowl Path83%
Fast Start44%
Collapse Risk17%
Path Shape
Bowl live
44% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 83%. Collapse risk 17% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk7: 85% to 57%.
Mid-American Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 7.9 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.7 | 7.5 | 8.4 |
| Western Michigan | 6.9 | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| Ohio | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.2 |
| Eastern Michigan | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Buffalo | 6.4 | 5.5 | 6.7 |
| Central Michigan | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.9 |
| Bowling Green | 5.8 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| Akron | 4.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Kent State | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Ball State | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Sacramento State | 3.6 | 5.5 | 3.9 |