JP+ One-Sheet
Tulane
American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.2
Model Profile
#77
JP+ Rank
#81
Off Adj
#82
Def Adj
Overall
-0.8
Offense
-0.9
Defense
-1.0
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
6.2
JP+
6.5
SP+
Bowl Path69%
Fast Start23%
Collapse Risk31%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
23% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 69%. Collapse risk 31% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.7 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 76% to 20%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |