JP+ One-Sheet
Pitt
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
6.5
Model Profile
#53
JP+ Rank
#59
Off Adj
#31
Def Adj
Overall
+3.3
Offense
+0.6
Defense
+3.4
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
6.5
JP+
6.8
SP+
Bowl Path76%
Fast Start70%
Collapse Risk24%
Path Shape
Early equity
70% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 76%. Collapse risk 24% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk5: 99% to 36%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Pitt | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Duke | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Cal | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 |