JP+ One-Sheet
James Madison
Sun Belt | 2026
Projected Wins
7.6
Model Profile
#65
JP+ Rank
#73
Off Adj
#38
Def Adj
Overall
+1.6
Offense
-0.4
Defense
+2.5
Win Total Context
8.5
Market
7.6
JP+
8.4
SP+
Bowl Path93%
Fast Start22%
Collapse Risk21%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
22% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 93%. Collapse risk 21% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 98% to 33%.
Sun Belt Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Marshall | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Arkansas State | 7.3 | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| Louisiana | 6.8 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Appalachian State | 6.7 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Troy | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Old Dominion | 6.4 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Louisiana Tech | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| Georgia Southern | 6.1 | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| South Alabama | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Southern Miss | 4.8 | 3.5 | 2.6 |