JP+ One-Sheet
Iowa State
Big 12 | 2026
Projected Wins
6.0
Model Profile
#56
JP+ Rank
#65
Off Adj
#40
Def Adj
Overall
+2.9
Offense
+0.2
Defense
+2.3
Win Total Context
4.5
Market
6.0
JP+
5.2
SP+
Bowl Path60%
Fast Start79%
Collapse Risk1%
Path Shape
Early equity
79% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 60%. Collapse risk 1% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.6 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 97% to 19%.
Big 12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Utah | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| BYU | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Kansas State | 7.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Arizona | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| UCF | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| TCU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Kansas | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Baylor | 6.3 | 6.5 | 5.9 |
| Oklahoma State | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Iowa State | 6.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Colorado | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| West Virginia | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 |