JP+ One-Sheet
Central Michigan
Mid-American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.2Team Thesis
Central Michigan Returns Its Quarterback but Rebuilds Almost Everything Around Him. Joey Labas is back under center after a 7-5 season, and that continuity at the sport's most important position is about the only settled thing about this Central Mic…
Model Profile
#116
JP+ Rank
#121
Offense
#112
Defense
Why JP+ Is Lower
6.5
Market
6.2
JP+
5.7
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Cliff risk
27% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 68%. Collapse risk 13% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 58% to 2%.
Bull Case
8-4If the offensive line gels quickly and the new pieces at receiver and in the secondary find their footing, this group could push toward bowl eli…
Bear Case
5-7If the trench and coverage questions linger into November, a step back toward five or six wins is the more likely outcome.'
Mid-American Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Miami (OH) | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.4 |
| Western Michigan | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.4 |
| Ohio | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Buffalo | 6.3 | -- | 7.0 |
| Eastern Michigan | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Central Michigan | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Bowling Green | 5.6 | 4.5 | 5.3 |