Boston College

The Eagles should catch several breaks and start winning with linebacker Kris Jones arriving from Georgia, but everything needs to be way tighter after a dismal 2-10 campaign. Boston College's JP+ rating sits at -4.1 points (90th nationally), with an offense that barely breaks even at +0.1 (63rd) while the defense hemorrhages -3.8 points per game (110th). The roster turnover was massive — 31 departures costing 110.0 PPA against just 26 arrivals adding 45.2 PPA — headlined by quarterback Dylan Lonergan's transfer to Rutgers and receiver Reed Harris bolting for Arizona State. Running back Evan Dickens brings the highest upside among newcomers with 38.0 PPA from Liberty, joined by receivers Javarius Green from North Carolina and Landon Wright from Washington State.

JP+ projects 3.9 wins for the Eagles in what should be another challenging ACC slate, with brutal road trips to Notre Dame, Miami, and SMU anchoring the difficulty. The new signal-caller faces enormous pressure in a fragile offensive ecosystem that lost significant continuity at quarterback and throughout the skill positions, creating high replacement uncertainty across the board. Home games against Pitt, Rutgers, and Maine offer the clearest paths to victory, but defensive improvement from the 110th-ranked unit remains essential. If Jones and the transfer additions click quickly while the quarterback situation stabilizes, Boston College could push toward five wins and respectability. If the defensive struggles persist and offensive chemistry takes time to develop, another long season awaits in Chestnut Hill.