Akron

Akron

Mid-American|2026 Preseason Preview

Overall
-12.5
#130
Offense
-6.9
#127
Defense
-5.4
#122
Proj. Wins
6.0

Akron faces offensive production deficit after portal losses

2026 Preseason Outlook

The Zips lost significantly more talent than they gained through the transfer portal, shedding 11.2 points of production per attempt while adding just 4.7 PPA back. Israel Polk's departure to Oklahoma State removes their top receiving threat (8.0 PPA), while tight end Max Whisner also transferred to Sam Houston. Ben Finley returns as the starting quarterback, providing stability at the position, but he'll work with a reshaped receiving corps headlined by new arrival Miles Burris from Charlotte (4.1 PPA). The offense already struggled at 127th nationally (-6.9 rating), and the defense wasn't much better at 122nd (-5.4), leaving Akron with a -12.5 overall rating that ranks 130th in the country.

JP+ projects 5.1 wins for the Zips, essentially matching their 5-7 record from 2025 despite the roster turnover. The schedule presents clear tiers with home games against Eastern Michigan and Robert Morris offering the best opportunities, while road trips to Minnesota and Wake Forest loom as the toughest tests. Mid-American Conference play will likely determine whether Akron can reach bowl eligibility, with the road game at Miami (OH) particularly crucial. If Finley can develop chemistry quickly with his new receivers and the defense shows improvement, six wins remains possible. If the offensive transition stalls, another sub-.500 season becomes the likely outcome.

Projected Schedule

WkOpponentJP+ LineWin%
1
@Wake ForestWake Forest
+13.824%
2
RRobert Morris
−18.083%
3
@MinnesotaMinnesota
+17.019%
4
UNLVUNLV
+7.036%
5
@Central MichiganCentral Michigan
+2.945%
6
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
−2.857%
7
@Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
+8.533%
8
@Kent StateKent State
−3.558%
9BYE WEEK
10
OhioOhio
−4.060%
11
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
+1.947%
12
@UMassUMass
−12.375%
13
BuffaloBuffalo
−2.757%
Proj. Wins6.0

JP+ Preseason Power Ratings · Win probabilities from Monte Carlo simulation · Preview generated April 9, 2026