JP+ One-Sheet
Wyoming
Mountain West | 2026
Projected Wins
5.4Team Thesis
Wyoming Rebuilds Around a New Quarterback and a Thinning Front Seven. Wyoming's offseason theme is turnover at the two positions that matter most for stability: quarterback and the defensive front.
Model Profile
#123
JP+ Rank
#130
Offense
#71
Defense
Why JP+ Converges
5.5
Market
5.4
JP+
5.9
SP+
JP+ GAP: -0.1 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#132
Rated coverage50%
Candidate members66
Rated players33
Season Path
Balanced path
Bowl path45%
3-3 start59%
Collapse risk12%
59% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 45%. Collapse risk 12% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 83% to 44%.
Bull Case
7-5If the quarterback competition produces a steady operator and the defensive replacements hold up early, Wyoming can push toward the upper end of…
Bear Case
4-8If not, a rebuilding offense paired with a shakier front could make it a long season in Laramie.
Mountain West Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 8.1 | 7.5 | 8.8 |
| Air Force | 8.0 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| North Dakota State | 7.9 | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| Hawaii | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| New Mexico | 7.0 | 7.5 | 8.2 |
| Wyoming | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Nevada | 5.4 | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| San Jose State | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 |