JP+ One-Sheet
Wisconsin
Big Ten | 2026
Projected Wins
6.0
Model Profile
#46
JP+ Rank
#76
Off Adj
#26
Def Adj
Overall
+4.0
Offense
-0.5
Defense
+4.2
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.0
JP+
5.4
SP+
Bowl Path63%
Fast Start38%
Collapse Risk15%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
38% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 63%. Collapse risk 15% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 89% to 19%.
Big Ten Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Oregon | 9.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| Ohio State | 9.6 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| Penn State | 8.9 | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Iowa | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Washington | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| USC | 7.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| UCLA | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Illinois | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Maryland | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| Wisconsin | 6.0 | 6.5 | 5.4 |
| Minnesota | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Rutgers | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.4 |