JP+ One-Sheet
Western Kentucky
Conference USA | 2026
Projected Wins
6.9
Model Profile
#91
JP+ Rank
#105
Off Adj
#56
Def Adj
Overall
-3.4
Offense
-3.4
Defense
+0.4
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
6.9
JP+
7.3
SP+
Bowl Path87%
Fast Start34%
Collapse Risk4%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
34% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 87%. Collapse risk 4% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.9 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 58% to 4%.
Conference USA Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Jacksonville State | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| Western Kentucky | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Kennesaw State | 6.9 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| FIU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Delaware | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Missouri State | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| New Mexico State | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Sam Houston | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |