JP+ One-Sheet
West Virginia
Big 12 | 2026
Projected Wins
5.5
Model Profile
#74
JP+ Rank
#86
Off Adj
#48
Def Adj
Overall
-0.5
Offense
-1.8
Defense
+1.2
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
5.5
JP+
5.2
SP+
Bowl Path48%
Fast Start82%
Collapse Risk10%
Path Shape
Early equity
82% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 48%. Collapse risk 10% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk3: 96% to 31%.
Big 12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Utah | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| BYU | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Kansas State | 7.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Arizona | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| UCF | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| TCU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Kansas | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Iowa State | 6.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Colorado | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| West Virginia | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 |