JP+ One-Sheet
Washington State
Pac-12 | 2026
Projected Wins
5.3Team Thesis
Washington State Rebuilds Around Zevi Eckhaus Under Kirby Moore. Kirby Moore takes over a Washington State roster that lost 41 players to the portal, and the defining theme of this offseason is coverage instability on defense paired with target-shar…
Model Profile
#79
JP+ Rank
#88
Offense
#56
Defense
Why JP+ Is Lower
5.5
Market
5.3
JP+
5.3
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Cliff risk
59% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 43%. Collapse risk 11% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 99% to 32%.
Bull Case
7-4If Blood and the new receiving corps give Eckhaus enough target-share stability and the front seven replacements hold up in coverage, Washington…
Bear Case
4-7If the defensive attrition shows up on tape early, six wins again feels like the ceiling rather than the floor.
Pac-12 Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.4 |
| Boise State | 6.7 | 7.5 | 8.2 |
| Fresno State | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.9 |
| Texas State | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.8 |
| Washington State | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Utah State | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Oregon State | 4.6 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Colorado State | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.9 |