JP+ One-Sheet
Wake Forest
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
5.8
Model Profile
#62
JP+ Rank
#70
Off Adj
#34
Def Adj
Overall
+1.8
Offense
-0.2
Defense
+3.3
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
5.8
JP+
6.1
SP+
Bowl Path56%
Fast Start63%
Collapse Risk6%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
63% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 56%. Collapse risk 6% (3 or fewer wins). Biggest shift Wk11: 94% to 25%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Cal | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Wake Forest | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| North Carolina | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Syracuse | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 |