JP+ One-Sheet
Virginia Tech
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
7.0Team Thesis
James Franklin Rebuilds Virginia Tech With Penn State Pieces. James Franklin left Penn State for Virginia Tech, and his first offseason move was raiding his old roster, headlined by Ethan Grunkemeyer, a quarterback who arrives with 48.1 PPA and will…
Model Profile
#36
JP+ Rank
#24
Offense
#52
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
6.5
Market
7.0
JP+
7.1
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Early equity
77% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 85%. Collapse risk 4% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 81% to 16%.
Bull Case
9-3If the new signal-caller settles in quickly and the receiving corps gels around Brown and Jackson, this offense could carry a defense that only…
Bear Case
6-6If the QB competition drags into October or the concentrated receiving corps stumbles, 6.9 could end up as the ceiling rather than the floor.
ACC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Virginia | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 8.0 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Clemson | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| NC State | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.1 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.1 |