JP+ One-Sheet
Virginia Tech
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
7.0
Model Profile
#33
JP+ Rank
#22
Off Adj
#52
Def Adj
Overall
+6.9
Offense
+5.3
Defense
+0.9
Win Total Context
6.5
Market
7.0
JP+
7.4
SP+
Bowl Path84%
Fast Start76%
Collapse Risk5%
Path Shape
Early equity
76% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 84%. Collapse risk 5% (4 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk12: 80% to 17%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Pitt | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Duke | 6.3 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Cal | 5.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 |