JP+ One-Sheet
Vanderbilt
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
6.9
Model Profile
#22
JP+ Rank
#1
Off Adj
#77
Def Adj
Overall
+12.6
Offense
+11.6
Defense
-0.7
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
6.9
JP+
6.5
SP+
Bowl Path83%
Fast Start89%
Collapse Risk1%
Path Shape
Early equity
89% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 83%. Collapse risk 1% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 71% to 43%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Alabama | 7.4 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Vanderbilt | 6.9 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Missouri | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 |