JP+ One-Sheet
UConn
FBS Independents | 2026
Projected Wins
6.5
Model Profile
#73
JP+ Rank
#68
Off Adj
#93
Def Adj
Overall
-0.3
Offense
0.0
Defense
-2.0
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
6.5
JP+
5.2
SP+
Bowl Path73%
Fast Start70%
Collapse Risk3%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
70% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 73%. Collapse risk 3% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk9: 93% to 29%.
FBS Independents Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 10.1 | 11.5 | 10.8 |
| UConn | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 |