JP+ One-Sheet
Texas Tech
Big 12 | 2026
Projected Wins
10.7
Model Profile
#3
JP+ Rank
#42
Off Adj
#1
Def Adj
Overall
+22.9
Offense
+2.6
Defense
+15.5
Win Total Context
10.5
Market
10.7
JP+
10.7
SP+
Bowl Path100%
Fast Start66%
Collapse Risk2%
Path Shape
Early equity
66% to start 6-0 or better. Bowl path 100%. Collapse risk 2% (8 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.3 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk5: 99% to 85%.
Big 12 Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Utah | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| BYU | 7.6 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Kansas State | 7.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 |
| Arizona | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| UCF | 6.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| TCU | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.1 |
| Kansas | 6.6 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Cincinnati | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Houston | 6.5 | 8.5 | 7.4 |
| Arizona State | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Baylor | 6.3 | 6.5 | 5.9 |