JP+ One-Sheet
Texas A&M
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
8.5Team Thesis
Texas A&M Reloads Around Marcel Reed After a Step Back From the Playoff Chase. Texas A&M's offseason theme is continuity at the top and reconstruction underneath.
Model Profile
#9
JP+ Rank
#10
Offense
#15
Defense
Why JP+ Converges
8.5
Market
8.5
JP+
8.5
SP+
JP+ GAP: +0.0 WINS
Roster Snapshot
Roster stock#7
Rated coverage81%
Candidate members102
Rated players83
Season Path
Cliff risk
Bowl path99%
5-1 start60%
Collapse risk7%
60% to start 5-1 or better. Bowl path 99%. Collapse risk 7% (6 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +0.7 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk4: 90% to 42%.
Bull Case
10-2If the offensive line holds up as advertised and the edge rush gels quickly under Hemphill, this group has the pieces for another playoff push.
Bear Case
7-5If the front seven's replacements lag, 8.5 wins could prove to be the ceiling rather than the floor.
SEC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.2 | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas A&M | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Texas | 7.9 | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.6 | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.9 |