JP+ One-Sheet
Tennessee
SEC | 2026
Projected Wins
7.4
Model Profile
#18
JP+ Rank
#7
Off Adj
#45
Def Adj
Overall
+13.6
Offense
+10.1
Defense
+1.6
Win Total Context
7.5
Market
7.4
JP+
7.6
SP+
Bowl Path90%
Fast Start80%
Collapse Risk10%
Path Shape
Early equity
80% to start 4-2 or better. Bowl path 90%. Collapse risk 10% (5 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.2 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk11: 84% to 31%.
SEC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| LSU | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Texas A&M | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 |
| Texas | 8.0 | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Ole Miss | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Florida | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Tennessee | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Alabama | 7.4 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Vanderbilt | 6.9 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Missouri | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| South Carolina | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 |