JP+ One-Sheet
Temple
American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.1
Model Profile
#83
JP+ Rank
#77
Off Adj
#103
Def Adj
Overall
-2.6
Offense
-0.6
Defense
-2.6
Win Total Context
5.5
Market
6.1
JP+
6.0
SP+
Bowl Path65%
Fast Start59%
Collapse Risk3%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
59% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 65%. Collapse risk 3% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 93% to 13%.
American Athletic Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Navy | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Army | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| East Carolina | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Tulsa | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| North Texas | 6.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Tulane | 6.2 | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| FAU | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| UAB | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Rice | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.6 |