JP+ One-Sheet
Temple
American | 2026
Projected Wins
6.1Team Thesis
Temple Rebuilds the Trenches Around Evan Simon and Waits on the Defense. Temple quietly went shopping for beef this offseason, and the headline addition is Ransom McDermott, a Louisville transfer who slots in at offensive tackle and anchors a line t…
Model Profile
#84
JP+ Rank
#80
Offense
#99
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
5.5
Market
6.1
JP+
5.6
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Cliff risk
59% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 64%. Collapse risk 4% (3 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.5 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 93% to 13%.
Bull Case
8-4If McDermott stabilizes the line quickly and Schlaffer becomes a real weapon for Simon, Temple's offense could push the ceiling toward eight win…
Bear Case
5-7If the trenches take time to gel and the defense doesn't find answers, a season closer to five or six wins is the more likely outcome.
American Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Navy | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| Army | 7.6 | -- | 7.2 |
| Memphis | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| East Carolina | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| North Texas | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Temple | 6.1 | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| UAB | 4.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 |