JP+ One-Sheet
Syracuse
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
5.2
Model Profile
#87
JP+ Rank
#91
Off Adj
#87
Def Adj
Overall
-2.8
Offense
-2.2
Defense
-1.5
Win Total Context
4.5
Market
5.2
JP+
4.6
SP+
Bowl Path40%
Fast Start70%
Collapse Risk4%
Path Shape
Early equity
70% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 40%. Collapse risk 4% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.0 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 96% to 56%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| Wake Forest | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| North Carolina | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Syracuse | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Stanford | 4.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Boston College | 4.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 |