JP+ One-Sheet
Syracuse
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
5.2Team Thesis
Syracuse Enters 2026 With More Roster Turnover Than Almost Anyone in the ACC. Few teams have bigger potential to move up after spring ball than Syracuse, and that's the theme defining this offseason.
Model Profile
#65
JP+ Rank
#70
Offense
#73
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
4.5
Market
5.2
JP+
4.3
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Early equity
70% to start 3-3 or better. Bowl path 40%. Collapse risk 4% (2 or fewer wins). Schedule is front-loaded by +1.0 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk2: 96% to 54%.
Bull Case
7-5If Angeli finds quick chemistry with the new pass-catchers and the defense holds up as advertised, Syracuse can exceed 5.2 wins and reestablish…
Bear Case
4-8If the offensive turnover proves too disruptive, another season hovering near .500 or below is the more likely outcome.
ACC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Virginia | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 8.0 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Clemson | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| North Carolina | 5.4 | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Syracuse | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Stanford | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.8 |