JP+ One-Sheet
Stanford
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
4.2
Model Profile
#92
JP+ Rank
#108
Off Adj
#61
Def Adj
Overall
-3.6
Offense
-3.7
Defense
+0.3
Win Total Context
3.5
Market
4.2
JP+
3.9
SP+
Bowl Path15%
Fast Start60%
Collapse Risk3%
Path Shape
Cliff risk
60% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 15%. Collapse risk 3% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk8: 92% to 36%.
ACC Win Totals
| Team | JP+ | Mkt | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.6 | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| Virginia | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.3 |
| Clemson | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| NC State | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Florida State | 7.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Virginia Tech | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| North Carolina | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Syracuse | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Stanford | 4.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Boston College | 4.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 |