JP+ One-Sheet
Stanford
ACC | 2026
Projected Wins
4.1Team Thesis
Stanford Promotes From Within and Leans on Defense to Stay Competitive in the ACC. Tavita Pritchard takes over a program that went 4-8 in 2025, and the internal promotion signals continuity rather than a full reset.
Model Profile
#89
JP+ Rank
#105
Offense
#63
Defense
Why JP+ Is Higher
3.5
Market
4.1
JP+
3.8
SP+
Roster Snapshot
Season Path
Cliff risk
59% to start 2-4 or better. Bowl path 14%. Collapse risk 3% (1 or fewer wins). Schedule is back-loaded by -0.4 wins through the first six. Biggest shift Wk8: 92% to 37%.
Bull Case
6-6If the passing game finds rhythm and the defense holds up as expected, Stanford pushes toward the upper end of that range and makes life difficu…
Bear Case
3-9If the offensive turnover lingers into October, another season in the 4-5 win range is the more likely outcome.
ACC Context
| Team | JP+ | Market | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| Virginia | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| SMU | 8.0 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| Louisville | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| Clemson | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| Syracuse | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Stanford | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Boston College | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.9 |